Lottery Winning Combinations

Lottery Winning Combinations

Your typical 6 balls from 49 lottery has millions of possible combinations. In fact, 13,983,816 combinations to be precise. That’s just under 14 million.

Now it’s quite shared to find people analysing past lottery results to help them discover future lottery winning combinations. They commonly clarify combinations that they determine are doubtful to ever be drawn.

Usually the examination goes something like this:

I’ve analysed all of the past results ever drawn for the UK Lotto (or MegaMillions or EuroMillions or in any case). And in all those years, a consequence has never been drawn where the numbers are all consecutive – like 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.

This ‘lightbulb moment’ then leads them to declare that you should never pick consecutive numbers because clearly they will never be drawn. And consequently by doing so, you have a better chance of winning.

Plain wrong. For two reasons.

Firstly, out of all of those 14 million combinations, do you know how many possible consecutive results there are? All the way from 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 right up to 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49.

Yes, just 44 of them.

And secondly, do you know how many draws have been made on the UK Lotto to date?

Less than 900, ever.

If we assume that a consequence hasn’t been repeated however, that method there are truly over 13,982,000 combinations that have never been drawn however.

So it’s truly not at all surprising that our 44 consecutive results haven’t appeared however. They have very good company with the other 13,982,000 however to be drawn!

This examination usually goes on to clarify lots of other ‘patterns’ to eliminate – all odds, all evens, all divisible by 3 etc. Because those results have never happened before either.

The only possible way this examination could ever be useful would be if there had been enough past draws to give each consequence a fair chance of appearing. That would require not just millions of draws, but hundreds of millions. Given that a lottery would have to run for 19,230 years to already reach a million draws, I don’t think it’s going to help us already then.

So the next time someone claims to have deleted any ‘doubtful’ combinations, ask them if they know how many combinations have truly never been drawn for that game.

Comments (1)

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